India Blooms News Service | @indiablooms | 15 Apr 2020, 12:12 am Print
Brussels/Sputnik: The coronavirus pandemic looks set to shave off 2.8 percent from the global economic output this year, a UK-based forecasting firm has predicted in its monthly report.
Oxford Economics has updated its baseline global economic outlook which forecasts a slump of 7 percent in the global industrial production in the first half of 2020.
"For Western economies currently in lockdown we expect restrictions to start to be lifted in Q2, leading to a sharp resurgence in activity in H2. But despite this rebound, we project that world GDP will shrink by 2.8% in 2020 overall," it reads.
The overall downturn will be far more severe than the post-financial crisis 1.1 percent drop recorded in 2009. The pick-up in the second half of the year and the return to more normal conditions in 2021 will cause the global growth to rise to almost 6 percent.
"But the severity of the coronavirus shock is likely to lead to a permanent output loss for the global economy," analysts predicted.
Countries around the world shut companies or limited production in an effort to contain the deadly outbreak of the virus, which has infected more than 1.9 million people worldwide and killed over 123,000 since December.
- Automobile giant Tesla likely to remove 10 percent of its workforce
- Crypto market tanks amid Middle East crisis
- Elon Musk's Tesla inks strategic deal with India's Tata Electronics to procure semi-conductor chips
- Apple plans to reduce 614 workers in California
- Tech major Apple to open its new Shanghai store on Thursday